2026 Week 6 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos, final 14–17
Pregame first read
SEA pass defense has the stronger league profile.
DEN passing attack #23/32 · SEA pass defense #2/32 · 170 offense / 168 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SEA -5
- Model total
- 43.5
- 80% range (DEN margin)
- -20.1 to +14.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingSam DarnoldSEA278 pass yds
- RushingEmanuel WilsonSEA52 rush yds
- ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA134 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- DEN passing attack#23/32SEA pass defense#2/32
- DEN run game#22/32SEA run defense#3/32
- SEA passing attack#15/32DEN pass defense#4/32
- SEA run game#30/32DEN run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Drew LockQB · 2 games211pass yds/g
- Emanuel WilsonRB · 5 games50.2rush yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 5 games117rec yds/g
- Tory HortonWR · 2 games27rec yds/g
DENDenver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · 5 games188pass yds/g
- J.K. DobbinsRB · 5 games45.8rush yds/g
- Jaylen WaddleWR · 5 games40.8rec yds/g
- Pat BryantWR · 4 games33.3rec yds/g