2026 Week 6 · Final
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts, final 26–20
Pregame first read
IND run game has the stronger league profile.
IND run game #2/32 · TEN run defense #15/32 · 135 offense / 153 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- IND -1.5
- Model total
- 47
- 80% range (IND margin)
- -13.3 to +21.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDaniel JonesIND269 pass yds
- RushingJonathan TaylorIND94 rush yds
- ReceivingKeenan AllenIND82 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- IND passing attack#28/32TEN pass defense#29/32
- IND run game#2/32TEN run defense#15/32
- TEN passing attack#30/32IND pass defense#23/32
- TEN run game#20/32IND run defense#32/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
TENTennessee Titans
- Cam WardQB · 5 games179pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 5 games54.6rush yds/g
- Carnell TateWR · 5 games54.8rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 5 games35.2rec yds/g
INDIndianapolis Colts
- Daniel JonesQB · 5 games204pass yds/g
- Jonathan TaylorRB · 5 games79.6rush yds/g
- Josh DownsWR · 5 games49.8rec yds/g
- Tyler WarrenTE · 5 games42.6rec yds/g