AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 6 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts, final 26–20

Pregame first read

IND run game has the stronger league profile.

IND run game #2/32 · TEN run defense #15/32 · 135 offense / 153 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -1.5
Model total
47
80% range (IND margin)
-13.3 to +21.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#28/32TEN pass defense#29/32
  • IND run game#2/32TEN run defense#15/32
  • TEN passing attack#30/32IND pass defense#23/32
  • TEN run game#20/32IND run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

INDIndianapolis Colts