AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 6 · Final

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers, final 17–23

WASWASWashington Commanders17SFSFSan Francisco 49ers23

Pregame first read

SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #1/32 · WAS pass defense #22/32 · 145 offense / 199 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SF -4
Model total
47.5
80% range (SF margin)
-10.8 to +23.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#1/32WAS pass defense#22/32
  • SF run game#9/32WAS run defense#18/32
  • WAS passing attack#20/32SF pass defense#16/32
  • WAS run game#13/32SF run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

SFSan Francisco 49ers