2026 Week 7 · Final
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles, final 38–21
Pregame first read
DAL run game has the stronger league profile.
DAL run game #15/32 · PHI run defense #29/32 · 104 offense / 144 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DAL -1.5
- Model total
- 46.5
- 80% range (PHI margin)
- -16.4 to +17.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDak PrescottDAL212 pass yds
- RushingJavonte WilliamsDAL155 rush yds
- ReceivingCeeDee LambDAL74 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- PHI passing attack#28/32DAL pass defense#30/32
- PHI run game#31/32DAL run defense#21/32
- DAL passing attack#13/32PHI pass defense#23/32
- DAL run game#15/32PHI run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 6 games273pass yds/g
- Javonte WilliamsRB · 6 games52.8rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 6 games96.2rec yds/g
- George PickensWR · 6 games71.3rec yds/g
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · 5 games187pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 4 games45.5rush yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 4 games77.5rec yds/g
- Dontayvion WicksWR · 6 games47.3rec yds/g