AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles, final 38–21

Pregame first read

DAL run game has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #15/32 · PHI run defense #29/32 · 104 offense / 144 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -1.5
Model total
46.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-16.4 to +17.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#28/32DAL pass defense#30/32
  • PHI run game#31/32DAL run defense#21/32
  • DAL passing attack#13/32PHI pass defense#23/32
  • DAL run game#15/32PHI run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles