AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, final 17–20

GBGBGreen Bay Packers17DETDETDetroit Lions20

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #10/32 · DET pass defense #28/32 · 194 offense / 234 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -1
Model total
47.5
80% range (DET margin)
-13.8 to +20.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#2/32GB pass defense#4/32
  • DET run game#12/32GB run defense#24/32
  • GB passing attack#10/32DET pass defense#28/32
  • GB run game#31/32DET run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

DETDetroit Lions