AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings, final 10–16

INDINDIndianapolis Colts10MINMINMinnesota Vikings16

Pregame first read

MIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #26/32 · MIN pass defense #1/32 · 199 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -7
Model total
42
80% range (MIN margin)
-8.1 to +25.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#25/32IND pass defense#16/32
  • MIN run game#23/32IND run defense#27/32
  • IND passing attack#26/32MIN pass defense#1/32
  • IND run game#5/32MIN run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

MINMinnesota Vikings