AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks, final 3–20

KCKCKansas City Chiefs3SEASEASeattle Seahawks20

Pregame first read

KC run defense has the stronger league profile.

SEA run game #30/32 · KC run defense #9/32 · 141 offense / 125 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -1
Model total
43
80% range (SEA margin)
-13.9 to +20.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#19/32KC pass defense#6/32
  • SEA run game#30/32KC run defense#9/32
  • KC passing attack#9/32SEA pass defense#3/32
  • KC run game#2/32SEA run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

SEASeattle Seahawks