AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

New York Giants at Houston Texans, final 27–21

NYGNYGNew York Giants27HOUHOUHouston Texans21

Pregame first read

HOU run defense has the stronger league profile.

NYG run game #24/32 · HOU run defense #14/32 · 128 offense / 122 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -1.5
Model total
46
80% range (HOU margin)
-16.3 to +17.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#11/32NYG pass defense#11/32
  • HOU run game#26/32NYG run defense#30/32
  • NYG passing attack#24/32HOU pass defense#15/32
  • NYG run game#24/32HOU run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

HOUHouston Texans