AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints, final 16–10

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers16NONONew Orleans Saints10

Pregame first read

PIT run game has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #3/32 · NO run defense #32/32 · 105 offense / 132 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -0.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (NO margin)
-15.3 to +18.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#22/32PIT pass defense#14/32
  • NO run game#18/32PIT run defense#23/32
  • PIT passing attack#27/32NO pass defense#22/32
  • PIT run game#3/32NO run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

NONew Orleans Saints