AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons, final 20–29

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers20ATLATLAtlanta Falcons29

Pregame first read

SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #1/32 · ATL pass defense #23/32 · 142 offense / 219 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SF -2.5
Model total
47.5
80% range (ATL margin)
-17.4 to +16.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#23/32SF pass defense#17/32
  • ATL run game#6/32SF run defense#6/32
  • SF passing attack#1/32ATL pass defense#23/32
  • SF run game#4/32ATL run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

ATLAtlanta Falcons