AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 7 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers, final 43–13

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers43CARCARCarolina Panthers13

Pregame first read

TB run game has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #7/32 · CAR run defense #26/32 · 139 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CAR -1.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-13.5 to +20.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#7/32TB pass defense#8/32
  • CAR run game#11/32TB run defense#1/32
  • TB passing attack#31/32CAR pass defense#13/32
  • TB run game#7/32CAR run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

CARCarolina Panthers