AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

BALBALBaltimore RavensBUFBUFBuffalo Bills

Matchup first read

BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #8/32 · BUF pass defense #29/32 · 160 offense / 214 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -1.5
Model total
54.5
80% range (BUF margin)
-13.3 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BUF passing attack#5/32BAL pass defense#23/32
  • BUF run game#1/32BAL run defense#3/32
  • BAL passing attack#8/32BUF pass defense#29/32
  • BAL run game#24/32BUF run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

BUFBuffalo Bills