AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 8 · Mon, Nov 2 · 8:15 PM ET

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks

CHICHIChicago BearsSEASEASeattle Seahawks

Matchup first read

SEA run defense has the stronger league profile.

CHI run game #20/32 · SEA run defense #6/32 · 169 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -1.5
Model total
43.5
80% range (SEA margin)
-13.4 to +20.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#24/32CHI pass defense#11/32
  • SEA run game#29/32CHI run defense#22/32
  • CHI passing attack#13/32SEA pass defense#4/32
  • CHI run game#20/32SEA run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

SEASeattle Seahawks