AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

CLECLECleveland BrownsPITPITPittsburgh Steelers

Matchup first read

PIT run defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE run game #17/32 · PIT run defense #7/32 · 135 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
40.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-14.8 to +19.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#19/32CLE pass defense#9/32
  • PIT run game#2/32CLE run defense#5/32
  • CLE passing attack#22/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • CLE run game#17/32PIT run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

PITPittsburgh Steelers