AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

KCKCKansas City ChiefsDENDENDenver Broncos

Matchup first read

KC run defense has the stronger league profile.

DEN run game #14/32 · KC run defense #8/32 · 128 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -2
Model total
38
80% range (DEN margin)
-16.9 to +17.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#21/32KC pass defense#16/32
  • DEN run game#14/32KC run defense#8/32
  • KC passing attack#11/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • KC run game#7/32DEN run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

DENDenver Broncos