2026 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
Matchup first read
NYJ run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #32/32 · NYJ run defense #14/32 · 106 offense / 177 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LV -2
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -16.7 to +17.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#16/32LV pass defense#28/32
- NYJ run game#18/32LV run defense#31/32
- LV passing attack#12/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
- LV run game#32/32NYJ run defense#14/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Kirk CousinsQB · 7 games268pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 7 games46.9rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 5 games91rec yds/g
- Tre TuckerWR · 7 games67.7rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Geno SmithQB · 7 games232pass yds/g
- Braelon AllenRB · 7 games59.7rush yds/g
- Omar Cooper Jr.WR · 3 games82.7rec yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 7 games63.4rec yds/g