2026 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Matchup first read
WAS run game has the stronger league profile.
WAS run game #16/32 · PHI run defense #30/32 · 129 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- WAS -1
- Model total
- 46.5
- 80% range (WAS margin)
- -14.2 to +19.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- WAS passing attack#20/32PHI pass defense#25/32
- WAS run game#16/32PHI run defense#30/32
- PHI passing attack#31/32WAS pass defense#19/32
- PHI run game#26/32WAS run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Tanner McKeeQB · 2 games213pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 5 games48.8rush yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 4 games77.5rec yds/g
- Dontayvion WicksWR · 6 games47.3rec yds/g
WASWashington Commanders
- Jayden DanielsQB · 4 games190pass yds/g
- Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · 5 games47.8rush yds/g
- Terry McLaurinWR · 5 games46rec yds/g
- Stefon DiggsWR · 5 games42.8rec yds/g