AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 8:20 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

Matchup first read

WAS run game has the stronger league profile.

WAS run game #16/32 · PHI run defense #30/32 · 129 offense / 154 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -1
Model total
46.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-14.2 to +19.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#20/32PHI pass defense#25/32
  • WAS run game#16/32PHI run defense#30/32
  • PHI passing attack#31/32WAS pass defense#19/32
  • PHI run game#26/32WAS run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

WASWashington Commanders