AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 9:30 AM ET

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons

CINCINCincinnati BengalsATLATLAtlanta Falcons

Matchup first read

CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #3/32 · ATL pass defense #15/32 · 193 offense / 222 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -4
Model total
47
80% range (ATL margin)
-18.8 to +15.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#9/32CIN pass defense#13/32
  • ATL run game#9/32CIN run defense#16/32
  • CIN passing attack#3/32ATL pass defense#15/32
  • CIN run game#21/32ATL run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

ATLAtlanta Falcons