2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Matchup first read
CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.
NO run game #25/32 · CLE run defense #5/32 · 118 offense / 127 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CLE -1.5
- Model total
- 44.5
- 80% range (NO margin)
- -16.4 to +17.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NO passing attack#25/32CLE pass defense#9/32
- NO run game#25/32CLE run defense#5/32
- CLE passing attack#22/32NO pass defense#22/32
- CLE run game#17/32NO run defense#32/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CLECleveland Browns
- Deshaun WatsonQB · 7 games212pass yds/g
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · 6 games52.8rush yds/g
- Denzel BostonWR · 7 games53.1rec yds/g
- KC ConcepcionWR · 7 games45rec yds/g
NONew Orleans Saints
- Tyler ShoughQB · 7 games246pass yds/g
- Travis EtienneRB · 3 games42.7rush yds/g
- Chris OlaveWR · 7 games90.9rec yds/g
- Devaughn VeleWR · 7 games49.7rec yds/g