AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

DALDALDallas CowboysINDINDIndianapolis Colts

Matchup first read

IND run game has the stronger league profile.

IND run game #10/32 · DAL run defense #21/32 · 146 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -1.5
Model total
51.5
80% range (IND margin)
-16.6 to +17.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#28/32DAL pass defense#27/32
  • IND run game#10/32DAL run defense#21/32
  • DAL passing attack#14/32IND pass defense#7/32
  • DAL run game#5/32IND run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

INDIndianapolis Colts