AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

DENDENDenver BroncosCARCARCarolina Panthers

Matchup first read

CAR pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DEN passing attack #21/32 · CAR pass defense #8/32 · 166 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -1
Model total
45
80% range (CAR margin)
-15.7 to +18.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#17/32DEN pass defense#5/32
  • CAR run game#12/32DEN run defense#11/32
  • DEN passing attack#21/32CAR pass defense#8/32
  • DEN run game#14/32CAR run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

CARCarolina Panthers