AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

DETDETDetroit LionsMIAMIAMiami Dolphins

Matchup first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #1/32 · MIA pass defense #32/32 · 195 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -6
Model total
47.5
80% range (MIA margin)
-20.8 to +13.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIA passing attack#26/32DET pass defense#31/32
  • MIA run game#6/32DET run defense#25/32
  • DET passing attack#1/32MIA pass defense#32/32
  • DET run game#23/32MIA run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

MIAMiami Dolphins