2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots
Matchup first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #7/32 · NE pass defense #26/32 · 208 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NE -0.5
- Model total
- 43.5
- 80% range (NE margin)
- -14.6 to +19.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NE passing attack#2/32GB pass defense#6/32
- NE run game#19/32GB run defense#24/32
- GB passing attack#7/32NE pass defense#26/32
- GB run game#31/32NE run defense#18/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 7 games280pass yds/g
- Kaleb JohnsonRB · 5 games20.8rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 7 games85rec yds/g
- Matthew GoldenWR · 7 games77.1rec yds/g
NENew England Patriots
- Drake MayeQB · 7 games255pass yds/g
- Rhamondre StevensonRB · 7 games40.7rush yds/g
- Mack HollinsWR · 4 games52.3rec yds/g
- Romeo DoubsWR · 6 games43.5rec yds/g