2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Matchup first read
LAC run defense has the stronger league profile.
HOU run game #22/32 · LAC run defense #4/32 · 115 offense / 143 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- HOU -4.5
- Model total
- 41.5
- 80% range (LAC margin)
- -19.5 to +14.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LAC passing attack#32/32HOU pass defense#14/32
- LAC run game#28/32HOU run defense#27/32
- HOU passing attack#4/32LAC pass defense#10/32
- HOU run game#22/32LAC run defense#4/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
HOUHouston Texans
- C.J. StroudQB · 7 games267pass yds/g
- Woody MarksRB · 7 games38.7rush yds/g
- Nico CollinsWR · 5 games65.8rec yds/g
- Jaylin NoelWR · 7 games47.3rec yds/g
LACLos Angeles Chargers
- Justin HerbertQB · 6 games190pass yds/g
- Omarion HamptonRB · 6 games48.2rush yds/g
- Tre HarrisWR · 5 games45rec yds/g
- Ladd McConkeyWR · 5 games40rec yds/g