2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 4:05 PM ET
Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers
Matchup first read
SF run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #32/32 · SF run defense #2/32 · 106 offense / 118 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -2
- Model total
- 49.5
- 80% range (SF margin)
- -12.8 to +21.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SF passing attack#10/32LV pass defense#28/32
- SF run game#3/32LV run defense#31/32
- LV passing attack#12/32SF pass defense#20/32
- LV run game#32/32SF run defense#2/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Kirk CousinsQB · 7 games268pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 7 games46.9rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 5 games91rec yds/g
- Tre TuckerWR · 7 games67.7rec yds/g
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 7 games250pass yds/g
- Christian McCaffreyRB · 7 games55.6rush yds/g
- Mike EvansWR · 6 games70rec yds/g
- George KittleTE · 7 games60.7rec yds/g