2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup first read
KC passing attack has the stronger league profile.
KC passing attack #11/32 · NYJ pass defense #24/32 · 170 offense / 165 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -4.5
- Model total
- 39.5
- 80% range (KC margin)
- -10.5 to +23.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- KC passing attack#11/32NYJ pass defense#24/32
- KC run game#7/32NYJ run defense#14/32
- NYJ passing attack#16/32KC pass defense#16/32
- NYJ run game#18/32KC run defense#8/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NYJNew York Jets
- Geno SmithQB · 7 games232pass yds/g
- Braelon AllenRB · 7 games59.7rush yds/g
- Omar Cooper Jr.WR · 3 games82.7rec yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 7 games63.4rec yds/g
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 6 games246pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 6 games117rush yds/g
- Rashee RiceWR · 3 games63.3rec yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 6 games57.2rec yds/g