AUGRISOpen research

2026 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8 · 8:20 PM ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

TBTBTampa Bay BuccaneersCHICHIChicago Bears

Matchup first read

CHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TB passing attack #29/32 · CHI pass defense #11/32 · 158 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -1.5
Model total
44
80% range (CHI margin)
-13.6 to +20.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#13/32TB pass defense#2/32
  • CHI run game#20/32TB run defense#17/32
  • TB passing attack#29/32CHI pass defense#11/32
  • TB run game#8/32CHI run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2026 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

CHIChicago Bears